Space Race 2.0: Who’s Winning the Geopolitical Battle for Space?
An in-depth geopolitical analysis of the modern space race using 66+ years of space mission data (1957-2022).

The Question
Who is truly winning the “new space race,” and what does 66+ years of data reveal about shifting geopolitical power in space?
We dive into the data (4,630+ space missions from 1957 to 2022) to track the rise of China, the decline of Russia, and the emergence of new players like India and private companies like SpaceX. This is not just about rockets—it’s about power, influence, and the future of humanity in space.
Key Findings
The Three-Era Evolution
- Cold War Era (1957-1991):
- USSR vs USA—space as ideological battleground (~75% of missions)
- USSR led in raw launches; USA won the “moonshot moment”
- Transition Era (1992-2009):
- Russia faltered; commercial space awakened
- USA dominated as sole superpower (~40% of missions)
- The New Space Race (2010-2022):
- China emerges as #2 global power with sustained growth
- Private companies (SpaceX, Blue Origin) disrupt the field
- Diversification in space with India, UAE, New Zealand entering
The Shocking Upset:
- 2021 was a tipping point: China matched the US in launches for the first time
- SpaceX alone conducted 31 launches in 2022—more than most countries combined
- India’s cost efficiency is unmatched: $74M per launch vs $152M (USA) and $133M (China)
Winner Status:
Visualizations
Or view individually:
Critical Patterns:
- USA still leads, but with caveats:
- Heavy reliance on private sector (SpaceX accounts for 50%+ of US launches)
- Question: Can SpaceX sustain this pace, or is it a temporary boom?
- China’s steady climb:
- State-backed with clear strategic goals (space station, lunar base, Mars missions)
- Prediction: China will match or exceed the US in launches by 2028
- Russia’s steep decline:
- Geopolitical isolation post-2022 accelerated their fall
- Prediction: Russia becomes a minor player by 2030
Quick Tour
Data:
Code:
# Main analysis notebook
space_race_2_geopolitical_power_analysis.ipynb
# Technologies used:
- Python 3.x
- pandas, numpy (data manipulation)
- plotly, folium (interactive visualizations)
- scikit-learn (trend analysis & projections)
💡 How to Use This Project
For Recruiters:
- View the live site: GitHub Pages deployment
- Explore visualizations: All 7 interactive charts are browser-ready
- Check the analysis: Review methodology in the Jupyter notebook
- Assess skills: Python, data storytelling, geopolitical analysis, visualization design
For Data Enthusiasts:
- Clone this repository
- Open
space_race_2_geopolitical_power_analysis.ipynb in Google Colab or Jupyter
- Run the analysis yourself
- Fork and modify—add your own insights!
For Policymakers:
The data reveals critical insights about:
- National space capabilities and trends
- Strategic advantages of different space programs
- Cost-efficiency benchmarks
- Future power projections for planning
🎓 What I Learned
This project pushed me to:
- Integrate data storytelling from a business lens while using public data source
- Master geopolitical analysis through data (understanding how launches signal power)
- Build production-ready visualizations (interactive, web-deployable, compelling)
- Think like a strategist: Moving beyond “what happened” to “what does it mean” and “what’s next”
Future Enhancements
Want to take this further? Here’s the roadmap:
- Sentiment analysis: Scrape news to gauge public perception of space powers
- Budget analysis: Integrate space budget data (harder to find, but revealing)
- Collaboration networks: Map alliances (USA-Europe, China-Russia, etc.)
- Commercial space boom: Deeper dive into SpaceX, Blue Origin, Rocket Lab impact
- Real-time dashboard: Auto-update with latest launches via API
Contributing
Found an insight I missed? Want to add visualizations or data sources?
Pull requests welcome! Let’s build this together.
- Fork the repository
- Create your feature branch (
git checkout -b feature/AmazingInsight)
- Commit your changes (
git commit -m 'Add some AmazingInsight')
- Push to the branch (
git push origin feature/AmazingInsight)
- Open a Pull Request
📄 License
This project is open source under the MIT License.
👤 About Me
| Ekkarit Gaewprapun |
Strategic Foresight Leader |
AI-Powered Financial Analytics |
Futurist Bridging Finance & Data Science |
DBA, CMA, FMVA® |
Transforming Uncertainty into Competitive Advantage |
Currently Seeking: VP FP&A | Director Strategic Finance | Chief Data Officer | Head of Analytics
Strategic finance leader combining 25+ years of financial expertise with hands-on AI/ML capabilities. Specializing in predictive analytics, financial forecasting, and data-driven strategic planning.
| 📍 Houston, TX |
Open to Remote/Hybrid |
Willing to Relocate |
- 📧 ekkarit.g@outlook.com
- 💼 https://www.linkedin.com/in/ekkarit-gaewprapun-dba-cma-fmva%C2%AE-3153a0151/
- 🐙 https://github.com/ekkaritg-USA
Acknowledgments
- Data Source: Maven Analytics - Return to Space Challenge
- Inspiration: The growing importance of space in 21st-century geopolitics
- Tools: Python, Plotly, Folium, pandas, GitHub Pages
If you find this analysis valuable, please star this repository! ⭐